Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg Resignation Odds Shorten, as 85-Year-Old Misses Third Consecutive Day
Posted on: January 9, 2019, 12:16h.
Last updated on: January 9, 2019, 12:16h.
Supreme Court Associate Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has missed the first three argument days of 2019, and that’s fueling online betting speculation that she might soon resign.
PredictIt, the online exchange where bettors can buy and sell shares of political outcomes, has a market asking which of the nine Supreme Court justices will leave next. Ginsburg is the heavy betting favorite, with her shares currently going for 77 cents.?70-year-old Clarence Thomas has the next highest share price at 22 cents. Stephen Breyer is a distant third at just four cents.
The odds of Ginsburg departing the court have steadily shortened over the last three months. In November, cancerous nodules were found in the 85-year-old’s lungs. She underwent surgery in December.
Ginsburg’s absence this week was the first time in her 25-year career on the Supreme Court that she missed an oral argument.
Oldest Justices
Ruther Bader Ginsburg is the fourth-oldest Supreme Court justice in history.
3. Roger Taney – died at 87 years, seven months
2. John Paul Stevens – retired at 90 years, two months
1. Oliver Wendell Holmes – retired at 90 years, 10 months
Ginsburg is just the second female to be appointed to the Supreme Court after Sandra Day O’Connor. She’s?the subject of a new movie titled “On the Basis of Sex,” a biographical film based on her life.?
Gambling Views
Ginsburg was appointed to the Supreme Court in 1993 by President Bill Clinton. Since then, she’s ruled on several issues that have impacted the gaming industry.?One of the most notable occurred just last year.
The Supreme Court heard arguments against the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act (PASPA) in December 2017. Attorneys for New Jersey said the longstanding federal sports betting ban ran afoul of anti-commandeering interpretations of the Tenth Amendment.
In a May ruling, six of the nine justices agreed, and struck down PASPA. Ginsburg was in the minority.
Congress permissibly exercised its authority to regulate commerce by instructing states and private parties to refrain from operating sports-gambling schemes,” Ginsburg wrote in her dissent. “Deleting the alleged ‘commandeering’ directions would free the statute to accomplish just what Congress legitimately sought to achieve: stopping sports-gambling regimes.”
Seven states have joined Nevada in permitting full-scale sports betting in the wake of the PASPA repeal.
Trump Legacy
PredictIt bettors don’t think President Donald Trump will win reelection. “Which party wins the presidency in 2020?” currently has Democratic shares at 62 cents, and Republican shares at 38 cents.
Regardless of whether the former casino owner maintains his White House occupancy, Trump’s DC tenure will be likely felt for many years, if not decades, to come.
Trump has already appointed two Supreme Court justices (Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh). Should Ginsburg retire, the 45th president will be responsible for appointing a third of the court.
That would be the most appointments by a president since Ronald Reagan named four justices.
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Last Comments ( 2 )
Real betting sites have overwhelmingly given Trump the best odds for winning re-election. If you did a study of Presidential elections, you will know that odds are drastically in his favor for a 2nd term. The only presidents in modern times that didn't get a 2nd term was Ford who would have been the 3rd term of his party, Carter who was a coward and didn't defend America from attack, and Bush Sr who was the 3rd term of his party.
Ruth Bader Ginsburg has no choice but to resign. She can no longer do her job because she is literally dying in front of America's eyes. Her hatred for President Trump does not give her the right to stay on the Supreme Court and not function as she must.